Swing Trade Strategies – Learn to read between the lines. [chart]
Dr. Alan Andrews stated that when a median line (the white center line) is drawn, from the most recent swings, the price should return to the medain line 80% of the time. This median line can be used as a target objective where the market will often form a new pivot. October Cattle first tested the median line on July 21 when it traded to a high of 95.02. After a second test, on the following day, Cattle reversed, forming a high pivot and dropped to the 20-day EMA, trading as low as 93.25 on July 29. So far, the market had been following price behavior described by Dr. Alan Andrews.
He also stated that when a price returns to the median line the price will often form several small swings around the median line where it will touch or cross the line more than once before moving on. October Cattle tested the median line for the second time on August 2 and crossed above the line on August 4, only to back off and drop below the line on August 10. So far, so good. The market is behaving according to the plan. But, this is where it gets interesting. Each time Cattle crossed above the ascending median line, the market would pull back and close near the median. It was not until August 18 when Cattle posted a strong close with good separation from the median line. This was another "market tell" that Cattle are ready to resume the upward trend with a new target objective at the upper parallel line. Remember, price will continue to move towards the nearest line 80% of the line. In this case the upper parallel line is the new objective.
Understanding market behavior can and will alert you to trading opportunities and allow you to be aware if the market is behaving correctly so you can take advantage of this behavior. It is all between the lines. Learn more about using 'action-reaction" lines and swing trading strategies at www.tradersnetwork.com.
By John Crane
- October Live Cattle
Reversal dates for the week of August 2 – August 6
Monday – Hogs, Wheat, Soybeans, British pound, Coffee
Tuesday – Canadian dollar, Sugar
Wednesday – RBOB gas, Gold, Treasury bonds
Thursday – Crude oil
Friday – Natural gas, Heating oil
Reversal Dates for the week of July 12 – July 16.
Monday – Cattle, Soybeans, Gold, Cocoa, Coffee
Tuesday – S&P, British pound
Wednesday -
Thursday – Crude oil, Natural gas, Treasury bonds, Dow Jones, Australian dollar, Coffee
Friday – Cocoa
Swing trading software – How will Soybeans react after reaching projected target?
Twenty days after posting a high near the April 21st reversal date, July Soybeans reached the up-sloping reaction target line. The daily low of $9.31 tested the reaction line before finding support and rebounding to unchanged. This completes the five-wave cycle as the Soybeans reach the target objective–projected two weeks in advance–on the projected reversal date. While the long-term trend is still bearish, the short-term cycle suggests a possible corrective rebound from this level. I’ll have current updates in the TMV Swing Trade report.
July Soybeans
Swing Trading Strategies by John Crane – Reversal date pinpoint reversal in Swiss Franc. [chart]
The reverse-forward count, from the TR swing pattern (March 17 – April 4), was used to project a future reversal swing date on May 6th. The “action-reaction” line also forecast a price target objective at the intersection of the down-sloping median line and the up-sloping reaction line (8920). The Swiss franc breached the target objective on the predicted date and quickly reversed and surged higher. You can also learn to use the “action-reaction” methodology used to make this type of time and price projections in “Unlocking Wealth, Secret to Market Timing.
June Swiss Franc
Reaction swing triggers buy signal for June Heating oil.
June Heating oil rallied off the low, posted on the April 28 reversal swing date. The market had dipped down into the reversal date, with two lower closes, leading into the pivot low. After finding support from the lower up-sloping action line, Heating oil ended the corrective pullback and turned higher. The new upward thrust is pushing the market out of the cconsolidation pattern where it has been trading over the past three weeks. The market should have built up enough energy to break out of the pattern and begin the new upward swing into the next reversal date on May 7th. This reaction swing pattern also projects a price target objective at 2.4250.
How to find and use the reaction swing pattern to make future Time and Price projections for swign trading is covered in the book “Unlocking Wealth, Secret to Market Timing.”
June Heating oil
Bullish swing pattern sets stage for new rally in Gold.
Gold traded above the previous swing high ($1170.70 on April 12, 2010) at the close of Tuesday’s trading session and then backed off can closed below the prior high. Wednesday’s session opens steady to slightly and traded slightly lower before surging past the pivot high for the second time. The second crossing sets the stage for a new bullish upswing into the May 5th reversal swing date with a target objective above $1215.00.
June Gold
Swing Trade signal for Soybeans reaches target objective! [chart]
On April 5th, July Soybeans posted a low close of $945 1/4 inside the 60% buy window. Two days later, Soybeans rallied out of the buy window and traded through the trigger price for a long entry signal. The reverse/forward count projected a new upward price swing of twelve days from the low close from April 5th. I also used the count to project a target objective at the down-sloping reaction (red) line. After the buy signal was triggered, July Soybeans rallied over 60 cents into the April 21st reversal date and touched the down sloping reaction line - at $10.17 – on the following (trail) day. Soybeans reversed at the reaction line and are currently trading sharply lower. By understanding how to use the “action-reaction” price behavior I could have identified the target objectives two weeks in advance. To learn more about this trading technique read “Unlocking Wealth, Secret to Market Timing”.
Long July Cocoa reaches reaction line on projected reversal date!
July Cocoa - When July Cocoa dipped into the 60% buy window on April 12th, the RT Swing Trader program triggered a buy signal for the July Cocoa at 2934. As soon as the buy signal was triggered, the RT Swing Trader identified April 26th as the projected reversal swing date and placed the reaction target objective at the 3200 to 3250 price objective. As you can see for the chart below, during the following eleven trading days, Cocoa rallied from the entry price at 2934 and finally reached the reaction line target objective of 3228 on the projected reversal swing date of April 26th. This is a prime example of how understanding how to use the action-reaction methodology and being able to identify the proper set up pattern can be used to enhance any trading approach. If you do not have the time to do the proper analysis, the RT Swing Trader will do it for you.
July Cocoa
Swing trading opportunity setting up for June Swiss franc [chart]
June Swiss franc – The Swiss franc is beginning to exhibit a show of strength on speculation that the central bank will begin relaxing a year-old policy of selling the currency to curb its strength. The market has formed a bullish reaction swing with a retest of the 20-day SMA on Monday. This is a potentially bullish “setup” with a trigger price at .9527. A confirmation of this reaction swing could also mark the end of the longer-term A-B-C continuation pattern and the beginning of a new bullish leg. Check the latest issue of the Traders Market Views Swing Trading report for current recommendations.
June Swiss franc
RT Swing Trader Software
